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October 8th, 2012
10:51 PM ET

Nate Silver on varying poll numbers: "We have a tendency now in our culture to just get rid of data we don't like"

On Monday evening, Piers Morgan sat down with author and statistician Nate Silver to talk about the latest poll numbers.

"Voters memories will fade some," said Silver about the continuous political news cycle affecting public opinion. "Obama did get one good piece of news where, with the unemployment number falling below 8 percent, we now think that the economy's good enough where he's probably a narrow favorite on that basis."

Silver also referenced two very divergent polls released on Monday to illustrate the large difference between the data and results pulled from reputable and "very good polls". Silver noted that what he tries to do is "look at what all the polls say" and not not fall into, in Silver's words, a "tendency now in our culture to just get rid of data we don't like."

Watch the clip, and listen to the interview, as Silver explains how "Barack Obama went from being a huge favorite at 1pm to a huge underdog at 4pm" on Monday.
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Filed under: America's Choice 2012
soundoff (9 Responses)
  1. Pino Ferrari

    Piers, I agree completely with your point of view on the irrational way Americans look at gun control. However I start to think that the nuts on the right have some reason on their side. Why? I am reading of the policeman who kills a student nude and unarmed and I cannot help thinking that maybe the problem is in the American mind. BTW, I am an Italian living in Texas: I know that my original country has entire regions in the hand of organized crime. Still, proportionally there are fewer people killed by firearms. Many many times fewer!!!

    October 9, 2012 at 2:35 am | Report abuse | Reply
  2. JE

    Watch P.M on CNN internatonal....American living abroad...I like your program...don't always agree with you... 1-Silver appeared bias for Obama to me. 2- Yes...huge difference in foreign affairs...and YOU failed to mention it...Jewsih Nation and Mitt will have a strong relationship....think about it...3. I still try to hear all points of view fairly...just my way...and good point on shooting the college student...dumb and sad.

    Best wishes...American Independent Voter...yes...i have selected Mitt/Paul...

    October 9, 2012 at 8:47 am | Report abuse | Reply
  3. tiernanlaw

    cant wait until Nov 7th and this leftist hack Nate Silver is done!

    October 9, 2012 at 2:26 pm | Report abuse | Reply
  4. Blah blah the wheel's off your trailer

    Of course the polls are accurate. 4pm is the time the right wing trailer trash wake up to read their bible and clean their guns.

    October 9, 2012 at 3:02 pm | Report abuse | Reply
  5. Charlie Potatoes

    You need Andrew Sullivan, as a BO surrogate. He'll lick your toilet bowl and send a chill up your leg.

    October 9, 2012 at 3:23 pm | Report abuse | Reply
  6. HES

    Re: Obama/ Romney Debate
    Much Ado about nothing!!! The President had an off day and didn't display his usual oratorical best. Did it occur to anyone that Mr Romney has one thing to do right now, run his campaign and that the President in addition campaigning for re-election iis running the Country and dealing with the crisis in the Middle East. Cut the guy some slack, he might have been a bit tired!!! Enough Already

    October 10, 2012 at 1:23 am | Report abuse | Reply
  7. danial54

    Obamas new tax increase via medical reform is going to cost...Darden Restaurants anounced they are cutting back a huge block of full time employees to part time employees to save money on medical expenses. Way to go Obama. More people will end up on the government roll. Ya managed to screw it up again.

    October 10, 2012 at 10:42 am | Report abuse | Reply
  8. TOMMY

    Stock mkt will CRASH w/Romney..he will begin WW 3 & 4,,but will not send his 5 sons into the military..nor did he serve nor his Dad.....a Mormon tradition ....a MORON ..TRADITION...SONS IN MY AREA SIGN UP FOR THE FRAFT WHEN THEY REACH 18 YRS..& WHERE ARETHE TAX RETURNS,,,,?.. DRAFT...

    October 10, 2012 at 11:28 pm | Report abuse | Reply

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